Strong balance by :Howaida Awad Ahmed

The balance of power is nothing but an international system in which it is accepted that it be the best way for a state to preserve its self-existence, to rely on its military strength, and to ally itself with the military forces of other countries where and when circumstances require ..

So ..

The balance of the strong ... in its practical aspect, means a system with huge defense budgets and large military alliances

Perhaps the most important point regarding the balance of powers is implicitly evident in the above definition, which is that its primary goal is not preserving international peace, but rather preserving the security or independence of the state, especially for the major countries in other words.

The main purpose of the balance of power is to maintain the order of states or international stability, and war may be necessary for states to preserve their independence.

So ... it is illogical to claim, for example, that the system of balance of power in the nineteenth century was destroyed by the outbreak of the First World War in 1914, since what was broken here was in fact diplomacy, which is just one element of the balance of power, although it is of course true that The terrible development of this war has brought the powerful balance system into question ...

After all this, peace is certainly a secondary goal for the supporters of the balance of powers, and of course it has had difficult pressures for independence since the emergence of nuclear weapons .. Nevertheless, nuclear weapons have paid the limited political price that countries are willing to pay in exchange for peace within the framework of the balance of power.

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Indeed, there is evidence that it has raised it to an infinite degree, and the values ​​and feelings that confer independence, not peace, remain the main goals of a strong balance.

The increasing regional role of Iran in the region after the US occupation of Iraq in 2003 AD The emergence of Turkey and Iran as an influential force in the post-Arab movement, a reflection of the regional vacuum created by the post-movement transformations and the decline of the traditional pivotal forces.

That. The power vacuum at the international level and its impact on the regional balance of power, and it is revealed through several variables:

Iran's transformation into a major player in Iraq, and indeed the most important player in this arena, especially after the events of the so-called “Arab Spring.” The emergence of the role of Russia and China on the regional arena, as Russia and China were able to preserve the survival of Bashar al-Assad and the Syrian regime through the use of The right of veto in the face of Arab and international efforts to achieve stability in Syria and an end to the crisis, as well as Russia and China stood against many decisions related to developments and conflicts in the Middle East. The rise of these revisionist forces directly reflected on the balance of regional power, as the role of the allied regimes of China and Russia was strengthened. The emergence of features of conflict and competition between Iran, Turkey and Israel.

In turn, the adjustments and shifts in the balance of power internationally and regionally paved the way for the emergence of the great vulnerability that the Arab region suffers from, which contributed in an unprecedented way to increasing the opportunities and influence of other regional countries, so that it was possible to talk about the influence of three non-Arab regional powers on the future of the region: Iran. Turkey and Israel.

These forces possess the ingredients, influence, and will, which made them draw frameworks for regional interaction more effectively than any other Arab country, and thus the region entered a political race for roles and influence, and political maneuvering and the attempt to form alliances and blocs became one of the prominent features in regional politics.

The role and objectives of Israel in the region were and still are associated with the investment of the large American presence in the region, the Israeli military superiority supported by nuclear deterrence, as well as its exploitation of the variables that stormed and continue to plague the region, including the destruction of Iraqi capabilities after the American occupation in 2003, and the exit of this important country from the balance Regional power, and the state of chaos that many Arab countries are experiencing today,

Israel will benefit from the state of chaos and crises that have engulfed the region, because this makes it more likely to cope with two factors linked to these developments, the first: that this chaos created real cracks on the historical front of confrontation with it, and the second: that this chaos exhausted the confrontation countries and put them in front of potential partition projects.

As for Turkey, events in recent years have confirmed the nature of its role, its objectives, and its relations with the countries of the region, including Israel and Iran. After the Israeli attack on Gaza in December 2008, Turkey's relations with its Arab neighbors and with Iran have improved, and its relations with Israel have deteriorated, and matters have reached the worst point of the attack. The Israeli on the Turkish relief ship "Mavi Marmara", which caused nine Turkish deaths, which led to the expulsion of the Israeli ambassador at the time from Ankara

In return, Israel derives a large part of its position and power from its conventional military and nuclear capabilities with the support of the United States, and until now the vital goal of the United States has been to ensure to Israel the conventional and exceptional military sovereignty in the Middle East, and this is what encouraged Israel to persist in its policy of occupation and settlement at the expense of the territories. This also helped Israel destroy the Iraqi and Syrian nuclear facilities without fear of accountability, and with a serious threat to Iran over its approach to uranium enrichment, with the intention of luring Washington into a war with Tehran.

With regard to the Gulf states, despite the existence of differences between the countries of the Cooperation Council about the extent of Iran's danger to the security and stability of the region and its impact on the balance of power and regional influence, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the UAE in particular, as regional powers that have a great influence in the region, have succeeded in creating regional and international alliances to influence To curb Iran's regional ambitions, and they succeeded in imposing an exorbitant cost on Iran's regional project, and they became a counterbalance force for this project with the influence of the two countries, especially Saudi Arabia, in the regional and international circles, which threatens Iran's ability to introduce fundamental adjustments in the regional balance of power.